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Criterion
A hypothetical failure makes concrete risks, signals, and fitting mitigations visible.
Decision Making
Pre-Mortem
Paper illustration for ALPEN Method
Operations
ALPEN Method
Decision Tree method illustration showing its working structure
Decision Making
Decision Tree
Paper illustration for Failure Mode and Effects Analysis
Operations
Failure Mode and Effects Analysis
Purposedifferent
In early initiatives with many uncertainties, planning quickly turns too optimistic. A pre-mortem makes the expected failure visible in advance and sharpens the view of causes, gaps, and countermeasures.With an overloaded day full of too many tasks, a realistic picture of the day emerges. The method connects estimating, deciding, and buffer thinking so planning fits available energy and time.For decisions with follow-on paths and dependencies, a linear comparison is often not enough. A Decision Tree shows how options branch under conditions and which consequences hang on each branch.For a process, product, or service with noticeable failure risks, the method assesses possible failure modes in advance. It directs attention to combinations of occurrence, effect, and detectability.
Complexitydifferent
LowLowMediumHigh
Timedifferent
20–45 min10-20 min daily30-90 min2-6 h
Participantsdifferent
Small cross-functional group11-63-10
Formatdifferent
WorkshopAsyncWorkshop + asyncWorkshop
Outputdifferent
Risk list, Mitigation plan, Assumption logDaily Plan, Time Estimates, Review NotesDecision Tree, Option Map, Assumption ListFMEA Table, Risk Priority, Mitigation Actions
Tagsno overlap
RiskDecisionFailurePlanning
PlanningTime managementProductivityOperations
DecisionTreeOptions
RiskQualityOperationsRoot cause
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