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| Criterion |  Decision Making Pre-Mortem |  Agile Affinity Estimation |  Business Strategy Business Model Stress Test |  Business Strategy Value Chain Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Purposedifferent | In early initiatives with many uncertainties, planning quickly turns too optimistic. A pre-mortem makes the expected failure visible in advance and sharpens the view of causes, gaps, and countermeasures. | When many tasks need to be classified quickly, it sorts them by perceived effort and similarity. It reduces the effort of fine-grained estimation for large volumes. | A Business Model Stress Test checks how well a business model holds up under pressure and headwinds. It compares strengths, risks, market logic, and courses of action. The result is captured as a stress-test report and action plan per scenario. | Value Chain Analysis shows where value is created, costs accrue, and differentiation becomes possible along the process. It compares strengths, risks, market logic, and courses of action. The result is captured as a value-chain map and lever list. |
Complexitydifferent | Low | Medium | High | High |
Timedifferent | 20–45 min | 30-90 min | Half day | Half day |
Participantsdifferent | Small cross-functional group | 3-12 | 3-8 | 3-8 |
Formatsame | Workshop | Workshop | Workshop | Workshop |
Outputdifferent | Risk list, Mitigation plan, Assumption log | Affinity Size Map, Grouped Estimates, Unclear Items | Stress Test Report, Action Plan per Scenario | Value Chain Map, Lever List |
Tagsno overlap | RiskDecisionFailurePlanning | EstimationBacklogRelative sizing | StrategyBusiness modelRiskDiagnosis | StrategyBusiness modelDiagnosisAnalysis |