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Criterion
A hypothetical failure makes concrete risks, signals, and fitting mitigations visible.
Decision Making
Pre-Mortem
A3 Problem-Solving workspace showing the question, observations, and next decision.
Operations
A3 Problem Solving
Paper illustration for Kepner-Tregoe
Operations
Kepner-Tregoe
Paper illustration for ALPEN Method
Operations
ALPEN Method
Purposedifferent
In early initiatives with many uncertainties, planning quickly turns too optimistic. A pre-mortem makes the expected failure visible in advance and sharpens the view of causes, gaps, and countermeasures.For a complex deviation with several people involved, the method bundles problem, analysis, and decision onto one page. It creates a shared working space where causes, countermeasures, and follow-up fit together.For a disturbance that's hard to pin down, the method cleanly separates problem, cause, and decision. It reduces mixing when symptoms allow several interpretations.With an overloaded day full of too many tasks, a realistic picture of the day emerges. The method connects estimating, deciding, and buffer thinking so planning fits available energy and time.
Complexitydifferent
LowMediumHighLow
Timedifferent
20–45 min45-90 min2-8 h10-20 min daily
Participantsdifferent
Small cross-functional group2-52-81
Formatdifferent
WorkshopWorkshop + asyncWorkshop + asyncAsync
Outputdifferent
Risk list, Mitigation plan, Assumption logA3 Report, Action Plan, Root Cause AnalysisProblem Analysis, Decision Analysis, Risk PlanDaily Plan, Time Estimates, Review Notes
Tagsno overlap
RiskDecisionFailurePlanning
LeanProblem solvingCoachingOperations
Problem solvingRoot causeDecisionOperations
PlanningTime managementProductivityOperations
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