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Criterion
Paper illustration of a Polarity Map with two poles and four quadrants
Systems Thinking
Polarity Mapping
Paper illustration of Futures Wheel with its method-specific working model.
Systems Thinking
Futures Wheel
Anonymous individual judgments pass through feedback loops to form a distribution.
Decision Making
Delphi Method
Paper illustration of Leverage Points with its method-specific working model.
Systems Thinking
Leverage Points
Purposedifferent
Polarity Mapping makes tensions between two opposing poles tangible, such as standardization and adaptation or control and autonomy. The method guards against making apparent either-or decisions prematurely.The Futures Wheel helps explore the consequences of a decision, a trend, or a strategic move in a structured way. It makes visible which first, second, and third-order effects could arise from an event.When knowledge is distributed and direct dominance should be avoided, groups quickly fall under the sway of their opinion leaders. The Delphi Method gathers assessments iteratively and gradually brings expert judgments closer together.Leverage Points show exactly where interventions in a system produce a disproportionate effect. It draws relationships, patterns, and feedback loops. The result is captured as a leverage map and action strategy.
Complexitydifferent
MediumMediumHighHigh
Timedifferent
1-2 h60-120 min1-4 WochenHalf day
Participantsdifferent
3-123-106-30 Experten3-12
Formatdifferent
WorkshopWorkshop + asyncAsyncWorkshop
Outputdifferent
Polarity Map, Warning Signs, Balance ActionsFutures Wheel, Consequence Chains, Strategic SignalsExpert Forecast, Consensus Range, Assumption NotesLeverage Map, Action Strategy
Tagsno overlap
Systems thinkingTradeoffsLeadership
ForesightSystems thinkingSignals
ForecastingExpertsDecisionStrategy
Systems thinkingChangeStrategy
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