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Criterion
Paper illustration of a Polarity Map with two poles and four quadrants
Systems Thinking
Polarity Mapping
Paper illustration of an assumption matrix with prioritized test cards
Decision Making
Assumption Surfacing
Paper illustration of a Test Card with four fields for hypothesis, test, metric, and success threshold.
Product Discovery
Test Card
Paper illustration of Riskiest Assumption Test with a method-specific labelled workspace.
Product Discovery
Riskiest Assumption Test
Purposedifferent
Polarity Mapping makes tensions between two opposing poles tangible, such as standardization and adaptation or control and autonomy. The method guards against making apparent either-or decisions prematurely.Plans often contain assumptions that were never openly stated and remain dangerous precisely because of that. Assumption Surfacing makes these silent premises visible and prioritizes which of them carry the initiative or could sink it.The Test Card turns a critical assumption into a testable claim and specifies in advance which result counts as success.When an idea hinges on one critical unknown, it prioritizes testing that exact piece of uncertainty first. It separates problem, assumption, solution, and evidence. The result is captured as a prioritized list of assumptions, a test plan, and a result report.
Complexitydifferent
MediumLowLowMedium
Timedifferent
1-2 h45-90 min20-35 min1-2 Wochen pro Iteration
Participantsdifferent
3-122-81-52-6
Formatdifferent
WorkshopWorkshop + asyncWorkshop + asyncWorkshop + async
Outputdifferent
Polarity Map, Warning Signs, Balance ActionsAssumption List, Critical Assumptions, Learning PlanTest Card with a pre-set thresholdPrioritized Assumption List, Test Plan, Results Report
Tagsno overlap
Systems thinkingTradeoffsLeadership
AssumptionsRiskDecisionDiscovery
ExperimentsValidationDiscoveryHypothesis
ExperimentsValidationDiscoveryAssumptions
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