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Criterion
Paper illustration for Planning Poker.
Agile
Planning Poker
Paper illustration of an assumption matrix with prioritized test cards
Decision Making
Assumption Surfacing
A hypothetical failure makes concrete risks, signals, and fitting mitigations visible.
Decision Making
Pre-Mortem
Paper illustration for Affinity Estimation.
Agile
Affinity Estimation
Purposedifferent
When estimates within the team diverge too much, it puts differing expectations on a common test bench. It separates rough complexity from unspoken assumptions.Plans often contain assumptions that were never openly stated and remain dangerous precisely because of that. Assumption Surfacing makes these silent premises visible and prioritizes which of them carry the initiative or could sink it.In early initiatives with many uncertainties, planning quickly turns too optimistic. A pre-mortem makes the expected failure visible in advance and sharpens the view of causes, gaps, and countermeasures.When many tasks need to be classified quickly, it sorts them by perceived effort and similarity. It reduces the effort of fine-grained estimation for large volumes.
Complexitydifferent
LowLowLowMedium
Timedifferent
2-5 min je Item45-90 min20–45 min30-90 min
Participantsdifferent
3-92-8Small cross-functional group3-12
Formatdifferent
Workshop + asyncWorkshop + asyncWorkshopWorkshop
Outputdifferent
Relative Estimates, Assumption Notes, Split CandidatesAssumption List, Critical Assumptions, Learning PlanRisk list, Mitigation plan, Assumption logAffinity Size Map, Grouped Estimates, Unclear Items
Tagsno overlap
EstimationAgileRelative sizingTeam
AssumptionsRiskDecisionDiscovery
RiskDecisionFailurePlanning
EstimationBacklogRelative sizing
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