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| Criterion |  Decision Making PERT Estimation |  Business Strategy Value Chain Analysis |  Decision Making Three-Point Estimation |  Business Strategy Business Model Canvas |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Purposedifferent | On complex initiatives, a plain average tends to understate just how uncertain the outcome really is. It separates options, evaluation criteria, and open risks. The result is captured as a PERT Estimate, Expected Value, and Risk Notes. | Value Chain Analysis shows where value is created, costs accrue, and differentiation becomes possible along the process. It compares strengths, risks, market logic, and courses of action. The result is captured as a value-chain map and lever list. | A single estimate for effort, time, or risk often looks too smooth for the real uncertainty behind it. It separates options, evaluation criteria, and open risks. The result is captured as a Three-Point Estimate, Risk Range, and Assumption Notes. | The Business Model Canvas condenses a business model to its key building blocks and assumptions. It makes variants quickly comparable and reveals gaps before validation or implementation begins. |
Complexitydifferent | Medium | High | Medium | Medium |
Timedifferent | 15-45 min | Half day | 10-30 min je Item | 1-2 h |
Participantsdifferent | 1-8 | 3-8 | 1-8 | 2-8 |
Formatdifferent | Workshop + async | Workshop | Workshop + async | Workshop + async |
Outputdifferent | PERT Estimate, Expected Value, Risk Notes | Value Chain Map, Lever List | Three-Point Estimate, Risk Range, Assumption Notes | Business Model Canvas, Assumption List, Business Hypotheses |
Tagsno overlap | EstimationUncertaintyRisk | StrategyBusiness modelDiagnosisAnalysis | EstimationUncertaintyForecasting | Business modelStrategyValueInnovation |