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Criterion
Paper illustration for PERT Estimation.
Decision Making
PERT Estimation
Paper illustration for Three-Point Estimation.
Decision Making
Three-Point Estimation
Paper illustration for Ideal Days.
Agile
Ideal Days
Paper board with the four ROAM fields Resolved, Owned, Accepted, and Mitigated.
Agile
ROAM Board
Purposedifferent
On complex initiatives, a plain average tends to understate just how uncertain the outcome really is. It separates options, evaluation criteria, and open risks. The result is captured as a PERT Estimate, Expected Value, and Risk Notes.A single estimate for effort, time, or risk often looks too smooth for the real uncertainty behind it. It separates options, evaluation criteria, and open risks. The result is captured as a Three-Point Estimate, Risk Range, and Assumption Notes.When effort needs to be thought of as real working time, it offers a simple common denominator for comparison. It sorts work by value, risk, and delivery ability. The result is captured as Ideal Day Estimates, Assumption Notes, and Capacity Caveats.When work needs to move between different states or columns, it makes that movement and its handoffs legible. It sorts work by value, risk, and delivery ability. The result is captured as a ROAM Board and an Owner List.
Complexitydifferent
MediumMediumLowLow
Timedifferent
15-45 min10-30 min je Item15-60 min20-40 min initial, dann laufend
Participantsdifferent
1-81-82-93-15
Formatsame
Workshop + asyncWorkshop + asyncWorkshop + asyncWorkshop + async
Outputdifferent
PERT Estimate, Expected Value, Risk NotesThree-Point Estimate, Risk Range, Assumption NotesIdeal Day Estimates, Assumption Notes, Capacity CaveatsROAM Board, Owner List
Tagsno overlap
EstimationUncertaintyRisk
EstimationUncertaintyForecasting
EstimationEffortAgile
RiskAgileTrackingAlignment
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