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Criterion
Paper illustration for PERT Estimation.
Decision Making
PERT Estimation
Paper illustration for Root Cause Tree Analysis
Operations
Root Cause Tree Analysis
Paper illustration for Three-Point Estimation.
Decision Making
Three-Point Estimation
A 5 Whys working surface connects an observable problem with evidenced causes, marked uncertainty and concrete countermeasures with ownership.
Operations
5 Whys
Purposedifferent
On complex initiatives, a plain average tends to understate just how uncertain the outcome really is. It separates options, evaluation criteria, and open risks. The result is captured as a PERT Estimate, Expected Value, and Risk Notes.For a problem with several suspected causes, the method builds a causal structure instead of a mere list. It makes visible how causes connect and where the strongest points of leverage lie.A single estimate for effort, time, or risk often looks too smooth for the real uncertainty behind it. It separates options, evaluation criteria, and open risks. The result is captured as a Three-Point Estimate, Risk Range, and Assumption Notes.For a single, hard-to-explain deviation, the method exposes the causal chain behind the visible symptom. It keeps the cause open until a controllable condition emerges instead of a mere description.
Complexitydifferent
MediumMediumMediumLow
Timedifferent
15-45 min1-3 h10-30 min je Item15-30 min
Participantsdifferent
1-82-81-82-6
Formatdifferent
Workshop + asyncWorkshopWorkshop + asyncWorkshop
Outputdifferent
PERT Estimate, Expected Value, Risk NotesCause Tree, Evidence Notes, CountermeasuresThree-Point Estimate, Risk Range, Assumption NotesRoot cause notes, Countermeasures
Tagsno overlap
EstimationUncertaintyRisk
Root causeTreeIncidentQuality
EstimationUncertaintyForecasting
Root causeIncidentLeanProblem solving
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