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Criterion
Paper illustration for PERT Estimation.
Decision Making
PERT Estimation
Paper illustration for Root Cause Tree Analysis
Operations
Root Cause Tree Analysis
Paper illustration of MORT Analysis with its method-specific working model.
Operations
MORT Analysis
Paper illustration for Fault Tree Analysis.
Operations
Fault Tree Analysis
Purposedifferent
On complex initiatives, a plain average tends to understate just how uncertain the outcome really is. It separates options, evaluation criteria, and open risks. The result is captured as a PERT Estimate, Expected Value, and Risk Notes.For a problem with several suspected causes, the method builds a causal structure instead of a mere list. It makes visible how causes connect and where the strongest points of leverage lie.For a safety-relevant event or a system with high protection requirements, the method examines where controls failed. It exposes both technical and organizational gaps.For a critical top event with several possible triggers, the method logically models failure paths. It makes visible which combinations of conditions can lead to damage.
Complexitydifferent
MediumMediumHighHigh
Timedifferent
15-45 min1-3 hMehrere Tage bis Wochen2-6 h
Participantsdifferent
1-82-82-63-8
Formatdifferent
Workshop + asyncWorkshopWorkshop + asyncWorkshop + async
Outputdifferent
PERT Estimate, Expected Value, Risk NotesCause Tree, Evidence Notes, CountermeasuresMORT Worksheets, Findings per Branch, Corrective Actions, Systemic RecommendationsFault Tree, Critical Paths, Cause Hypotheses, Control Actions
Tagsno overlap
EstimationUncertaintyRisk
Root causeTreeIncidentQuality
Root causeSafetySystemicIncident
RiskRoot causeSafety
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