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| Criterion |  Decision Making PERT Estimation |  Agile ROAM Board |  Decision Making Pre-Mortem |  Decision Making Decision Rights Mapping |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Purposedifferent | On complex initiatives, a plain average tends to understate just how uncertain the outcome really is. It separates options, evaluation criteria, and open risks. The result is captured as a PERT Estimate, Expected Value, and Risk Notes. | When work needs to move between different states or columns, it makes that movement and its handoffs legible. It sorts work by value, risk, and delivery ability. The result is captured as a ROAM Board and an Owner List. | In early initiatives with many uncertainties, planning quickly turns too optimistic. A pre-mortem makes the expected failure visible in advance and sharpens the view of causes, gaps, and countermeasures. | In organizations with many stakeholders, it often blurs who actually decides and who is merely consulted. It separates options, evaluation criteria, and open risks. The result is captured as a Decision Rights matrix and an agreement. |
Complexitydifferent | Medium | Low | Low | Medium |
Timedifferent | 15-45 min | 20-40 min initial, dann laufend | 20–45 min | 90-180 min |
Participantsdifferent | 1-8 | 3-15 | Small cross-functional group | 4-12 |
Formatdifferent | Workshop + async | Workshop + async | Workshop | Workshop |
Outputdifferent | PERT Estimate, Expected Value, Risk Notes | ROAM Board, Owner List | Risk list, Mitigation plan, Assumption log | Decision Rights Matrix, Agreement |
Tagsno overlap | EstimationUncertaintyRisk | RiskAgileTrackingAlignment | RiskDecisionFailurePlanning | DecisionGovernanceAlignmentResponsibility |