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Criterion
Paper illustration for PERT Estimation.
Decision Making
PERT Estimation
Red Teaming method illustration showing its working structure
Decision Making
Red Teaming
A paper-based illustration representing arc42 with its core stages and visible working result.
Architecture
arc42
Paper illustration of an assumption matrix with prioritized test cards
Decision Making
Assumption Surfacing
Purposedifferent
On complex initiatives, a plain average tends to understate just how uncertain the outcome really is. It separates options, evaluation criteria, and open risks. The result is captured as a PERT Estimate, Expected Value, and Risk Notes.For strategic decisions with high reach, agreement and gut feeling are often not enough. Red teaming brings deliberate opposition into the situation and tests where a plan breaks under real counterarguments.arc42 structures architecture knowledge so teams can document system, decisions, and risks consistently. The template builds a living understanding of the architecture instead of scattered notes.Plans often contain assumptions that were never openly stated and remain dangerous precisely because of that. Assumption Surfacing makes these silent premises visible and prioritizes which of them carry the initiative or could sink it.
Complexitydifferent
MediumHighLowLow
Timedifferent
15-45 min1-4 h1-2 Tage45-90 min
Participantsdifferent
1-83-81-42-8
Formatdifferent
Workshop + asyncWorkshopWorkshop + asyncWorkshop + async
Outputdifferent
PERT Estimate, Expected Value, Risk NotesChallenge Findings, Risk Register, Mitigation PlanArchitecture Document, Context View, Runtime View, Deployment ViewAssumption List, Critical Assumptions, Learning Plan
Tagsno overlap
EstimationUncertaintyRisk
RiskDecisionSensemaking
ArchitectureDocumentationCommunication
AssumptionsRiskDecisionDiscovery
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