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Criterion
Paper illustration for PERT Estimation.
Decision Making
PERT Estimation
Paper illustration of RAID Log with a method-specific labelled workspace.
Delivery
RAID Log
Paper illustration of a calm four-quadrant Assumption Map with hypothesis cards and emphasis on important assumptions with little evidence.
Product Discovery
Assumption Mapping
A/B Testing workspace showing the question, observations, and next decision.
Growth
A/B Testing
Purposedifferent
On complex initiatives, a plain average tends to understate just how uncertain the outcome really is. It separates options, evaluation criteria, and open risks. The result is captured as a PERT Estimate, Expected Value, and Risk Notes.Helps clarify scope, sequence, and delivery flow in concrete terms. It makes work, boundaries, and order steerable. The result is captured as a RAID Log and a source for status reporting.When assumptions still sit unordered in the room, it weighs uncertainty against leverage. It makes visible which hypotheses should be checked first.When two variants compete, discussions quickly decide by taste rather than effect. A/B Testing checks behavior under controlled conditions and separates real improvement from chance or expectation effects.
Complexitydifferent
MediumLowMediumHigh
Timedifferent
15-45 min30 min Setup, dann laufend45-60 min1-4 Wochen
Participantsdifferent
1-81-3 maintaining, briefing for everyone2-81-6
Formatdifferent
Workshop + asyncAsyncWorkshop + asyncAsync
Outputdifferent
PERT Estimate, Expected Value, Risk NotesRAID Log, Status Report SourceAssumption map, Test backlog, Risk rankingExperiment results, Decision log, Learning summary
Tagsno overlap
EstimationUncertaintyRisk
RiskTrackingStakeholdersGovernance
AssumptionsRiskExperimentsValidation
ExperimentsGrowthAnalyticsValidation
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