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| Criterion |  Decision Making PERT Estimation |  Agile Planning Poker |  Agile Bucket System |  Agile ROAM Board |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Purposedifferent | On complex initiatives, a plain average tends to understate just how uncertain the outcome really is. It separates options, evaluation criteria, and open risks. The result is captured as a PERT Estimate, Expected Value, and Risk Notes. | When estimates within the team diverge too much, it puts differing expectations on a common test bench. It separates rough complexity from unspoken assumptions. | When a large batch of work needs a fast, rough estimate, it sorts items into predefined size buckets. It sorts work by value, risk, and delivery ability. The result is captured as a Bucketed Backlog, Relative Estimates, and Split Candidates. | When work needs to move between different states or columns, it makes that movement and its handoffs legible. It sorts work by value, risk, and delivery ability. The result is captured as a ROAM Board and an Owner List. |
Complexitydifferent | Medium | Low | Medium | Low |
Timedifferent | 15-45 min | 2-5 min je Item | 30-90 min | 20-40 min initial, dann laufend |
Participantsdifferent | 1-8 | 3-9 | 3-12 | 3-15 |
Formatdifferent | Workshop + async | Workshop + async | Workshop | Workshop + async |
Outputdifferent | PERT Estimate, Expected Value, Risk Notes | Relative Estimates, Assumption Notes, Split Candidates | Bucketed Backlog, Relative Estimates, Split Candidates | ROAM Board, Owner List |
Tagsno overlap | EstimationUncertaintyRisk | EstimationAgileRelative sizingTeam | EstimationBacklogRelative sizing | RiskAgileTrackingAlignment |