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| Criterion |  Decision Making PERT Estimation |  Decision Making OODA Loop |  Product Discovery Learning Card |  Decision Making Assumption Surfacing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Purposedifferent | On complex initiatives, a plain average tends to understate just how uncertain the outcome really is. It separates options, evaluation criteria, and open risks. The result is captured as a PERT Estimate, Expected Value, and Risk Notes. | In dynamic situations, decisions become outdated faster than they can be prepared. The OODA Loop holds observing, orienting, deciding, and acting together as a recurring rhythm so reaction does not slide into inertia. | The Learning Card connects traceable test results to a reasoned next action while keeping the limits of the insight visible. | Plans often contain assumptions that were never openly stated and remain dangerous precisely because of that. Assumption Surfacing makes these silent premises visible and prioritizes which of them carry the initiative or could sink it. |
Complexitydifferent | Medium | Medium | Low | Low |
Timedifferent | 15-45 min | 15-60 min je Zyklus | 25-40 min | 45-90 min |
Participantsdifferent | 1-8 | 1-8 | 1-5 | 2-8 |
Formatsame | Workshop + async | Workshop + async | Workshop + async | Workshop + async |
Outputdifferent | PERT Estimate, Expected Value, Risk Notes | Situation Assessment, Decision Loop, Action Updates | Learning Card with evidence and next action | Assumption List, Critical Assumptions, Learning Plan |
Tagsno overlap | EstimationUncertaintyRisk | DecisionChangeLearningStrategy | ExperimentsValidationDiscoveryLearning | AssumptionsRiskDecisionDiscovery |