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| Criterion |  Decision Making PERT Estimation |  Agile NoEstimates |  Facilitation Stakeholder Salience Model |  Delivery RAID Log |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Purposedifferent | On complex initiatives, a plain average tends to understate just how uncertain the outcome really is. It separates options, evaluation criteria, and open risks. The result is captured as a PERT Estimate, Expected Value, and Risk Notes. | When estimating slows a team down more than it helps, it shifts the focus to flow, small slices, and real lead time. It sorts work by value, risk, and delivery ability. The result is captured as Throughput Data, Flow Forecast, and Slicing Rules. | When stakeholders appear to matter very differently, the Stakeholder Salience Model rates their actual priority through power, legitimacy, and urgency. It turns individual contributions into a visible selection. The result is captured as a Salience diagram and a class-based strategy. | Helps clarify scope, sequence, and delivery flow in concrete terms. It makes work, boundaries, and order steerable. The result is captured as a RAID Log and a source for status reporting. |
Complexitydifferent | Medium | Medium | Medium | Low |
Timedifferent | 15-45 min | laufend | 60-90 min | 30 min Setup, dann laufend |
Participantsdifferent | 1-8 | 2-12 | 3-6 | 1-3 maintaining, briefing for everyone |
Formatdifferent | Workshop + async | Workshop + async | Workshop | Async |
Outputdifferent | PERT Estimate, Expected Value, Risk Notes | Throughput Data, Flow Forecast, Slicing Rules | Salience Diagram, Strategy per Class | RAID Log, Status Report Source |
Tagsno overlap | EstimationUncertaintyRisk | EstimationForecastingFlow | StakeholdersFacilitationAlignmentGovernance | RiskTrackingStakeholdersGovernance |