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| Criterion |  Decision Making PERT Estimation |  Innovation Lean Startup |  Product Strategy Lean Canvas |  Business Strategy 5-Minuten VC-Check |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Purposedifferent | On complex initiatives, a plain average tends to understate just how uncertain the outcome really is. It separates options, evaluation criteria, and open risks. The result is captured as a PERT Estimate, Expected Value, and Risk Notes. | For uncertain business assumptions, the method forces the idea into contact with real market reactions early. It separates wishful picture, assumption, and observable behavior, so that learning becomes faster than planning. This translates uncertainty into measurable insight. | When an early product bet still has too many open points, it brings target group, problem, and assumptions into a single view. It condenses the idea so core risks become nameable. | The 5-Minute VC Check clarifies opportunities and strategic options at the earliest idea stage. It compares problem quality, customer willingness to pay, alternatives, differentiation, and market potential, and captures the result as a VC-check note, go/sharpen/park decision, and risk list. |
Complexitydifferent | Medium | Medium | Medium | Low |
Timedifferent | 15-45 min | Wochen bis Monate je Lernzyklus | 45-90 min | 5-15 min |
Participantsdifferent | 1-8 | 2-8 | 1-6 | 1-5 |
Formatsame | Workshop + async | Workshop + async | Workshop + async | Workshop + async |
Outputdifferent | PERT Estimate, Expected Value, Risk Notes | Hypothesis list, MVPs, Learning reports, Pivot or persevere decision | Lean Canvas, Core Assumptions, Experiment Backlog | VC-check note, Go/sharpen/park decision, Risk and assumption list, Next validation step |
Tagsno overlap | EstimationUncertaintyRisk | LeanStartupValidationMVP | StartupLeanAssumptionsBusiness model | StartupValidationCompetition |