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| Criterion |  Decision Making PERT Estimation |  Product Strategy Lean Canvas |  Growth A/B Testing |  Innovation Lean Startup |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Purposedifferent | On complex initiatives, a plain average tends to understate just how uncertain the outcome really is. It separates options, evaluation criteria, and open risks. The result is captured as a PERT Estimate, Expected Value, and Risk Notes. | When an early product bet still has too many open points, it brings target group, problem, and assumptions into a single view. It condenses the idea so core risks become nameable. | When two variants compete, discussions quickly decide by taste rather than effect. A/B Testing checks behavior under controlled conditions and separates real improvement from chance or expectation effects. | For uncertain business assumptions, the method forces the idea into contact with real market reactions early. It separates wishful picture, assumption, and observable behavior, so that learning becomes faster than planning. This translates uncertainty into measurable insight. |
Complexitydifferent | Medium | Medium | High | Medium |
Timedifferent | 15-45 min | 45-90 min | 1-4 Wochen | Wochen bis Monate je Lernzyklus |
Participantsdifferent | 1-8 | 1-6 | 1-6 | 2-8 |
Formatdifferent | Workshop + async | Workshop + async | Async | Workshop + async |
Outputdifferent | PERT Estimate, Expected Value, Risk Notes | Lean Canvas, Core Assumptions, Experiment Backlog | Experiment results, Decision log, Learning summary | Hypothesis list, MVPs, Learning reports, Pivot or persevere decision |
Tagsno overlap | EstimationUncertaintyRisk | StartupLeanAssumptionsBusiness model | ExperimentsGrowthAnalyticsValidation | LeanStartupValidationMVP |