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Criterion
Paper illustration for PERT Estimation.
Decision Making
PERT Estimation
Paper illustration for Kaizen Event.
Operations
Kaizen Event
Paper illustration of a calm four-quadrant Assumption Map with hypothesis cards and emphasis on important assumptions with little evidence.
Product Discovery
Assumption Mapping
Paper illustration for PDCA Cycle.
Operations
PDCA Cycle
Purposedifferent
On complex initiatives, a plain average tends to understate just how uncertain the outcome really is. It separates options, evaluation criteria, and open risks. The result is captured as a PERT Estimate, Expected Value, and Risk Notes.For a tightly scoped process segment with noticeable waste, the method bundles shared energy for change. It suits situations that call for fast learning loops and visible adjustments.When assumptions still sit unordered in the room, it weighs uncertainty against leverage. It makes visible which hypotheses should be checked first.For an improvement that still has to prove itself in everyday work, the method runs it through small learning loops. It connects planning, checking, and standardization into a repeatable learning mode.
Complexitydifferent
MediumMediumMediumLow
Timedifferent
15-45 min0.5-5 Tage45-60 min1 h bis mehrere Wochen
Participantsdifferent
1-84-102-81-8
Formatdifferent
Workshop + asyncWorkshopWorkshop + asyncWorkshop + async
Outputdifferent
PERT Estimate, Expected Value, Risk NotesKaizen Charter, Waste List, Improvement Experiments, Standard Work UpdateAssumption map, Test backlog, Risk rankingPDCA Log, Experiment Plan, Learning Outcome, Standard Change
Tagsno overlap
EstimationUncertaintyRisk
LeanContinuous improvementOperations
AssumptionsRiskExperimentsValidation
Continuous improvementLeanExperiments
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