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Criterion
Paper illustration for PERT Estimation.
Decision Making
PERT Estimation
Paper illustration for Ideal Days.
Agile
Ideal Days
Incident Command workspace showing the question, observations, and next decision.
DevOps
Incident Command
Game Day workspace showing the question, observations, and next decision.
DevOps
Game Day
Purposedifferent
On complex initiatives, a plain average tends to understate just how uncertain the outcome really is. It separates options, evaluation criteria, and open risks. The result is captured as a PERT Estimate, Expected Value, and Risk Notes.When effort needs to be thought of as real working time, it offers a simple common denominator for comparison. It sorts work by value, risk, and delivery ability. The result is captured as Ideal Day Estimates, Assumption Notes, and Capacity Caveats.During an acute incident with several people involved, the method creates a clear leadership and communication structure. It reduces chaos when fast coordination and clean situational awareness are both needed at once.In preparing for rare incidents, the method tests response capability under controlled conditions. It shows where assumptions about stability, roles, and recovery are too optimistic.
Complexitydifferent
MediumLowMediumHigh
Timedifferent
15-45 min15-60 minAs neededHalber Tag
Participantsdifferent
1-82-94-155-20
Formatdifferent
Workshop + asyncWorkshop + asyncWorkshop + asyncWorkshop
Outputdifferent
PERT Estimate, Expected Value, Risk NotesIdeal Day Estimates, Assumption Notes, Capacity CaveatsIncident Log, Action Tracker, Stakeholder UpdatesSimulation Notes, Gaps List, Updated Runbooks
Tagsno overlap
EstimationUncertaintyRisk
EstimationEffortAgile
IncidentOperationsReliability
ResilienceOperationsIncident
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