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| Criterion |  Decision Making PERT Estimation |  Agile Ideal Days |  Growth Flywheel |  Growth Funnel Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Purposedifferent | On complex initiatives, a plain average tends to understate just how uncertain the outcome really is. It separates options, evaluation criteria, and open risks. The result is captured as a PERT Estimate, Expected Value, and Risk Notes. | When effort needs to be thought of as real working time, it offers a simple common denominator for comparison. It sorts work by value, risk, and delivery ability. The result is captured as Ideal Day Estimates, Assumption Notes, and Capacity Caveats. | Growth often breaks down where a reinforcing mechanism builds up too much friction. A Flywheel shows the cycle of value, repetition, and reinforcement meant to sustain growth. | When many visitors or users drop off along the way, the reason behind the number often stays hidden. Funnel Analysis exposes these transitions and makes visible exactly where the path collapses. |
Complexitydifferent | Medium | Low | Medium | Medium |
Timedifferent | 15-45 min | 15-60 min | 60-120 min | 1-3 h |
Participantsdifferent | 1-8 | 2-9 | 3-8 | 1-5 |
Formatdifferent | Workshop + async | Workshop + async | Workshop | Async |
Outputdifferent | PERT Estimate, Expected Value, Risk Notes | Ideal Day Estimates, Assumption Notes, Capacity Caveats | Flywheel Map, Friction Points, Growth Levers, Experiment Backlog | Funnel report, Drop-off analysis, Optimization hypotheses |
Tagsno overlap | EstimationUncertaintyRisk | EstimationEffortAgile | GrowthRetentionConversion | AnalyticsConversionGrowth |