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Criterion
Paper illustration for PERT Estimation.
Decision Making
PERT Estimation
Paper illustration for Ideal Days.
Agile
Ideal Days
Paper illustration for Fault Tree Analysis.
Operations
Fault Tree Analysis
Paper illustration of Barrier Analysis with its method-specific working model.
Operations
Barrier Analysis
Purposedifferent
On complex initiatives, a plain average tends to understate just how uncertain the outcome really is. It separates options, evaluation criteria, and open risks. The result is captured as a PERT Estimate, Expected Value, and Risk Notes.When effort needs to be thought of as real working time, it offers a simple common denominator for comparison. It sorts work by value, risk, and delivery ability. The result is captured as Ideal Day Estimates, Assumption Notes, and Capacity Caveats.For a critical top event with several possible triggers, the method logically models failure paths. It makes visible which combinations of conditions can lead to damage.For a risk that can only be managed through multiple layers of protection, the method examines the effectiveness of each barrier. It shows where safeguards are missing, too weak, or fail under real conditions.
Complexitydifferent
MediumLowHighMedium
Timedifferent
15-45 min15-60 min2-6 h2-4 h
Participantsdifferent
1-82-93-82-6
Formatsame
Workshop + asyncWorkshop + asyncWorkshop + asyncWorkshop + async
Outputdifferent
PERT Estimate, Expected Value, Risk NotesIdeal Day Estimates, Assumption Notes, Capacity CaveatsFault Tree, Critical Paths, Cause Hypotheses, Control ActionsBarrier Inventory, Failure Analysis per Barrier, Action Backlog
Tagsno overlap
EstimationUncertaintyRisk
EstimationEffortAgile
RiskRoot causeSafety
Root causeSafetyIncident
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