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| Criterion |  Decision Making PERT Estimation |  Agile Ideal Days |  Agile Bucket System |  Agile ROAM Board |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Purposedifferent | On complex initiatives, a plain average tends to understate just how uncertain the outcome really is. It separates options, evaluation criteria, and open risks. The result is captured as a PERT Estimate, Expected Value, and Risk Notes. | When effort needs to be thought of as real working time, it offers a simple common denominator for comparison. It sorts work by value, risk, and delivery ability. The result is captured as Ideal Day Estimates, Assumption Notes, and Capacity Caveats. | When a large batch of work needs a fast, rough estimate, it sorts items into predefined size buckets. It sorts work by value, risk, and delivery ability. The result is captured as a Bucketed Backlog, Relative Estimates, and Split Candidates. | When work needs to move between different states or columns, it makes that movement and its handoffs legible. It sorts work by value, risk, and delivery ability. The result is captured as a ROAM Board and an Owner List. |
Complexitydifferent | Medium | Low | Medium | Low |
Timedifferent | 15-45 min | 15-60 min | 30-90 min | 20-40 min initial, dann laufend |
Participantsdifferent | 1-8 | 2-9 | 3-12 | 3-15 |
Formatdifferent | Workshop + async | Workshop + async | Workshop | Workshop + async |
Outputdifferent | PERT Estimate, Expected Value, Risk Notes | Ideal Day Estimates, Assumption Notes, Capacity Caveats | Bucketed Backlog, Relative Estimates, Split Candidates | ROAM Board, Owner List |
Tagsno overlap | EstimationUncertaintyRisk | EstimationEffortAgile | EstimationBacklogRelative sizing | RiskAgileTrackingAlignment |