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Criterion
Paper illustration for PERT Estimation.
Decision Making
PERT Estimation
Paper illustration of an IBIS map with issues, positions and arguments
Knowledge Modeling
IBIS
Paper illustration for Ideal Days.
Agile
Ideal Days
Paper illustration for Argument Mapping
Decision Making
Argument Mapping
Purposedifferent
On complex initiatives, a plain average tends to understate just how uncertain the outcome really is. It separates options, evaluation criteria, and open risks. The result is captured as a PERT Estimate, Expected Value, and Risk Notes.IBIS structures thinking about complex questions as a sequence of issues, ideas, and arguments. The method keeps discussions open without forcing them into premature consensus.When effort needs to be thought of as real working time, it offers a simple common denominator for comparison. It sorts work by value, risk, and delivery ability. The result is captured as Ideal Day Estimates, Assumption Notes, and Capacity Caveats.When statements, evidence, and counterarguments get mixed up, a debate quickly loses its structure. Argument Mapping breaks a thesis down into its reasoning and makes visible what it really rests on.
Complexitydifferent
MediumMediumLowMedium
Timedifferent
15-45 min1-3 h15-60 min1-3 h
Participantsdifferent
1-82-82-91-8
Formatsame
Workshop + asyncWorkshop + asyncWorkshop + asyncWorkshop + async
Outputdifferent
PERT Estimate, Expected Value, Risk NotesIssue Map, Positions, Argument NotesIdeal Day Estimates, Assumption Notes, Capacity CaveatsArgument Map, Evidence Gaps, Decision Rationale
Tagsno overlap
EstimationUncertaintyRisk
RationaleKnowledgeDecision
EstimationEffortAgile
SensemakingDecisionRationale
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