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Criterion
Paper illustration for PERT Estimation.
Decision Making
PERT Estimation
Paper illustration of Hooked Model with its method-specific working model.
Growth
Hooked Model
Paper illustration for Ideal Days.
Agile
Ideal Days
Paper illustration for Flywheel.
Growth
Flywheel
Purposedifferent
On complex initiatives, a plain average tends to understate just how uncertain the outcome really is. It separates options, evaluation criteria, and open risks. The result is captured as a PERT Estimate, Expected Value, and Risk Notes.The Hooked Model helps clarify engagement loops, user behavior, and experiments. It makes repeat behavior measurable and captures the result as a hooked loop, trigger map, and reward design.When effort needs to be thought of as real working time, it offers a simple common denominator for comparison. It sorts work by value, risk, and delivery ability. The result is captured as Ideal Day Estimates, Assumption Notes, and Capacity Caveats.Growth often breaks down where a reinforcing mechanism builds up too much friction. A Flywheel shows the cycle of value, repetition, and reinforcement meant to sustain growth.
Complexitydifferent
MediumMediumLowMedium
Timedifferent
15-45 minMultiple workshops over several weeks15-60 min60-120 min
Participantsdifferent
1-82-82-93-8
Formatdifferent
Workshop + asyncWorkshop + asyncWorkshop + asyncWorkshop
Outputdifferent
PERT Estimate, Expected Value, Risk NotesHooked loop, Trigger map, Reward design, Ethics checkIdeal Day Estimates, Assumption Notes, Capacity CaveatsFlywheel Map, Friction Points, Growth Levers, Experiment Backlog
Tagsno overlap
EstimationUncertaintyRisk
GrowthBehaviorRetention
EstimationEffortAgile
GrowthRetentionConversion
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