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| Criterion |  Decision Making PERT Estimation |  Product Discovery Dual-Track Agile |  Agile Ideal Days |  Agile ROAM Board |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Purposedifferent | On complex initiatives, a plain average tends to understate just how uncertain the outcome really is. It separates options, evaluation criteria, and open risks. The result is captured as a PERT Estimate, Expected Value, and Risk Notes. | When uncertainty and delivery run in parallel, it separates learning work from implementation while keeping both connected. It prevents unvalidated ideas from falling directly into the delivery stream. | When effort needs to be thought of as real working time, it offers a simple common denominator for comparison. It sorts work by value, risk, and delivery ability. The result is captured as Ideal Day Estimates, Assumption Notes, and Capacity Caveats. | When work needs to move between different states or columns, it makes that movement and its handoffs legible. It sorts work by value, risk, and delivery ability. The result is captured as a ROAM Board and an Owner List. |
Complexitydifferent | Medium | Medium | Low | Low |
Timedifferent | 15-45 min | Laufend, Wochen bis Monate | 15-60 min | 20-40 min initial, dann laufend |
Participantsdifferent | 1-8 | 4-10 | 2-9 | 3-15 |
Formatsame | Workshop + async | Workshop + async | Workshop + async | Workshop + async |
Outputdifferent | PERT Estimate, Expected Value, Risk Notes | Discovery Backlog, Delivery Backlog, Experiment-Ergebnisse, Validierte Stories | Ideal Day Estimates, Assumption Notes, Capacity Caveats | ROAM Board, Owner List |
Tagsno overlap | EstimationUncertaintyRisk | AgileDiscoveryDelivery | EstimationEffortAgile | RiskAgileTrackingAlignment |