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Criterion
Paper illustration for PERT Estimation.
Decision Making
PERT Estimation
Paper illustration of the Lightning Decision Jam working structure.
Facilitation
Decision Jam
Anonymous individual judgments pass through feedback loops to form a distribution.
Decision Making
Delphi Method
Paper illustration for Alignment Mapping.
Facilitation
Alignment Mapping
Purposedifferent
On complex initiatives, a plain average tends to understate just how uncertain the outcome really is. It separates options, evaluation criteria, and open risks. The result is captured as a PERT Estimate, Expected Value, and Risk Notes.When a decision is stuck, Decision Jam loosens the knot through structured separation of problem, idea, and selection. The format creates movement without jumping prematurely at the first seemingly elegant answer.When knowledge is distributed and direct dominance should be avoided, groups quickly fall under the sway of their opinion leaders. The Delphi Method gathers assessments iteratively and gradually brings expert judgments closer together.When several people work toward one goal but hold different mental maps, Alignment Mapping makes the discrepancies visible. It arranges goals, assumptions, and priorities so shared direction becomes verifiable.
Complexitydifferent
MediumLowHighMedium
Timedifferent
15-45 min60-90 min1-4 Wochen1-2 h
Participantsdifferent
1-84-106-30 Experten4-12
Formatdifferent
Workshop + asyncWorkshopAsyncWorkshop
Outputdifferent
PERT Estimate, Expected Value, Risk NotesProblem Cluster, Prioritized Challenge, ExperimentExpert Forecast, Consensus Range, Assumption NotesAlignment Map, Open Issues, Decision Questions
Tagsno overlap
EstimationUncertaintyRisk
FacilitationDecisionProblem solvingWorkshop
ForecastingExpertsDecisionStrategy
AlignmentStakeholdersStrategyFacilitation
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