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| Criterion |  Decision Making PERT Estimation |  Decision Making Constraint Analysis |  Business Strategy Scenario Planning |  Business Strategy Business Model Stress Test |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Purposedifferent | On complex initiatives, a plain average tends to understate just how uncertain the outcome really is. It separates options, evaluation criteria, and open risks. The result is captured as a PERT Estimate, Expected Value, and Risk Notes. | When an initiative stalls, the limit often lies not in the idea but in hard or soft boundary conditions. Constraint Analysis separates these limits and shows which of them can actually be shaped. | Scenario Planning opens the view to several plausible futures instead of a single forecast. The method protects strategies from depending on too narrow an expected path. | A Business Model Stress Test checks how well a business model holds up under pressure and headwinds. It compares strengths, risks, market logic, and courses of action. The result is captured as a stress-test report and action plan per scenario. |
Complexitydifferent | Medium | Low | High | High |
Timedifferent | 15-45 min | 30-90 min | 0.5-2 Tage | Half day |
Participantsdifferent | 1-8 | 2-8 | 4-12 | 3-8 |
Formatdifferent | Workshop + async | Workshop + async | Workshop | Workshop |
Outputdifferent | PERT Estimate, Expected Value, Risk Notes | Constraint List, Hard/Soft Classification, Option Impact Notes, Decision Boundaries | Scenario Set, Strategic Implications, Robust Options | Stress Test Report, Action Plan per Scenario |
Tagsno overlap | EstimationUncertaintyRisk | ConstraintsDecisionPlanningOptions | StrategyUncertaintyPlanning | StrategyBusiness modelRiskDiagnosis |