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| Criterion |  Decision Making PERT Estimation |  Business Strategy Business Model Canvas |  Business Strategy Blue Ocean Strategy Canvas |  Business Strategy Scenario Planning |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Purposedifferent | On complex initiatives, a plain average tends to understate just how uncertain the outcome really is. It separates options, evaluation criteria, and open risks. The result is captured as a PERT Estimate, Expected Value, and Risk Notes. | The Business Model Canvas condenses a business model to its key building blocks and assumptions. It makes variants quickly comparable and reveals gaps before validation or implementation begins. | The Blue Ocean Strategy Canvas shows how an offering is positioned relative to the market. Differentiation thereby becomes tangible in value factors instead of merely being claimed. | Scenario Planning opens the view to several plausible futures instead of a single forecast. The method protects strategies from depending on too narrow an expected path. |
Complexitydifferent | Medium | Medium | Medium | High |
Timedifferent | 15-45 min | 1-2 h | 2-4 h | 0.5-2 Tage |
Participantsdifferent | 1-8 | 2-8 | 3-10 | 4-12 |
Formatdifferent | Workshop + async | Workshop + async | Workshop | Workshop |
Outputdifferent | PERT Estimate, Expected Value, Risk Notes | Business Model Canvas, Assumption List, Business Hypotheses | Strategy Canvas, Value Curve, ERRC Actions | Scenario Set, Strategic Implications, Robust Options |
Tagsno overlap | EstimationUncertaintyRisk | Business modelStrategyValueInnovation | StrategyPositioningInnovationValue | StrategyUncertaintyPlanning |