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Selected:PERT EstimationATAM (Architecture Tradeoff Analysis Method)Delphi MethodThree-Point Estimation
| Criterion |  Decision Making PERT Estimation |  Architecture ATAM (Architecture Tradeoff Analysis Method) |  Decision Making Delphi Method |  Decision Making Three-Point Estimation |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Purposedifferent | On complex initiatives, a plain average tends to understate just how uncertain the outcome really is. It separates options, evaluation criteria, and open risks. The result is captured as a PERT Estimate, Expected Value, and Risk Notes. | ATAM helps teams weigh architecture decisions when quality goals compete. The team considers business goals, stakeholder expectations, and technical decisions together. The evaluation shows which risks need further investigation. | When knowledge is distributed and direct dominance should be avoided, groups quickly fall under the sway of their opinion leaders. The Delphi Method gathers assessments iteratively and gradually brings expert judgments closer together. | A single estimate for effort, time, or risk often looks too smooth for the real uncertainty behind it. It separates options, evaluation criteria, and open risks. The result is captured as a Three-Point Estimate, Risk Range, and Assumption Notes. |
Complexitydifferent | Medium | High | High | Medium |
Timedifferent | 15-45 min | Several meetings plus preparation and analysis; total effort depends on scope | 1-4 Wochen | 10-30 min je Item |
Participantsdifferent | 1-8 | Evaluation team, architects, and relevant stakeholders | 6-30 Experten | 1-8 |
Formatdifferent | Workshop + async | Workshop + async | Async | Workshop + async |
Outputdifferent | PERT Estimate, Expected Value, Risk Notes | Prioritized quality scenarios in a utility tree, Architecture risks with reasoning and assumptions, Sensitivity and trade-off points, Findings report with open investigations | Expert Forecast, Consensus Range, Assumption Notes | Three-Point Estimate, Risk Range, Assumption Notes |
Tagsno overlap | EstimationUncertaintyRisk | ArchitectureQualityRiskTradeoffsStakeholders | ForecastingExpertsDecisionStrategy | EstimationUncertaintyForecasting |