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| Criterion | ![]() Decision Making PERT Estimation | ![]() Decision Making Assumption Surfacing | ![]() Operations A3 Problem Solving | ![]() Facilitation Decision Jam |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Purposedifferent | On complex initiatives, a plain average tends to understate just how uncertain the outcome really is. It separates options, evaluation criteria, and open risks. The result is captured as a PERT Estimate, Expected Value, and Risk Notes. | Plans often contain assumptions that were never openly stated and remain dangerous precisely because of that. Assumption Surfacing makes these silent premises visible and prioritizes which of them carry the initiative or could sink it. | For a complex deviation with several people involved, the method bundles problem, analysis, and decision onto one page. It creates a shared working space where causes, countermeasures, and follow-up fit together. | When a decision is stuck, Decision Jam loosens the knot through structured separation of problem, idea, and selection. The format creates movement without jumping prematurely at the first seemingly elegant answer. |
Complexitydifferent | Medium | Low | Medium | Low |
Timedifferent | 15-45 min | 45-90 min | 45-90 min | 60-90 min |
Participantsdifferent | 1-8 | 2-8 | 2-5 | 4-10 |
Formatdifferent | Workshop + async | Workshop + async | Workshop + async | Workshop |
Outputdifferent | PERT Estimate, Expected Value, Risk Notes | Assumption List, Critical Assumptions, Learning Plan | A3 Report, Action Plan, Root Cause Analysis | Problem Cluster, Prioritized Challenge, Experiment |
Tagsno overlap | EstimationUncertaintyRisk | AssumptionsRiskDecisionDiscovery | LeanProblem solvingCoachingOperations | FacilitationDecisionProblem solvingWorkshop |



