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| Criterion |  Decision Making PERT Estimation |  Operations After-Action Review |  Operations Failure Mode and Effects Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|
Purposedifferent | On complex initiatives, a plain average tends to understate just how uncertain the outcome really is. It separates options, evaluation criteria, and open risks. The result is captured as a PERT Estimate, Expected Value, and Risk Notes. | After missions or project phases with unclear outcomes, the method makes visible what actually happened and what can be learned from it. It separates course, effect, and causes so experience turns into solid improvement. | For a process, product, or service with noticeable failure risks, the method assesses possible failure modes in advance. It directs attention to combinations of occurrence, effect, and detectability. |
Complexitydifferent | Medium | Low | High |
Timedifferent | 15-45 min | 20-45 min | 2-6 h |
Participantsdifferent | 1-8 | 3-12 | 3-10 |
Formatdifferent | Workshop + async | Workshop + async | Workshop |
Outputdifferent | PERT Estimate, Expected Value, Risk Notes | Lessons learned, Action items, Event summary | FMEA Table, Risk Priority, Mitigation Actions |
Tagsno overlap | EstimationUncertaintyRisk | LearningOperationsImprovement | RiskQualityOperationsRoot cause |
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