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| Criterion |  Decision Making PERT Estimation |  Agile Affinity Estimation |  Agile ROAM Board |  Agile Planning Poker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Purposedifferent | On complex initiatives, a plain average tends to understate just how uncertain the outcome really is. It separates options, evaluation criteria, and open risks. The result is captured as a PERT Estimate, Expected Value, and Risk Notes. | When many tasks need to be classified quickly, it sorts them by perceived effort and similarity. It reduces the effort of fine-grained estimation for large volumes. | When work needs to move between different states or columns, it makes that movement and its handoffs legible. It sorts work by value, risk, and delivery ability. The result is captured as a ROAM Board and an Owner List. | When estimates within the team diverge too much, it puts differing expectations on a common test bench. It separates rough complexity from unspoken assumptions. |
Complexitydifferent | Medium | Medium | Low | Low |
Timedifferent | 15-45 min | 30-90 min | 20-40 min initial, dann laufend | 2-5 min je Item |
Participantsdifferent | 1-8 | 3-12 | 3-15 | 3-9 |
Formatdifferent | Workshop + async | Workshop | Workshop + async | Workshop + async |
Outputdifferent | PERT Estimate, Expected Value, Risk Notes | Affinity Size Map, Grouped Estimates, Unclear Items | ROAM Board, Owner List | Relative Estimates, Assumption Notes, Split Candidates |
Tagsno overlap | EstimationUncertaintyRisk | EstimationBacklogRelative sizing | RiskAgileTrackingAlignment | EstimationAgileRelative sizingTeam |