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| Criterion |  Decision Making PERT Estimation |  Agile Affinity Estimation |  Delivery RAID Log |  Agile Planning Poker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Purposedifferent | On complex initiatives, a plain average tends to understate just how uncertain the outcome really is. It separates options, evaluation criteria, and open risks. The result is captured as a PERT Estimate, Expected Value, and Risk Notes. | When many tasks need to be classified quickly, it sorts them by perceived effort and similarity. It reduces the effort of fine-grained estimation for large volumes. | Helps clarify scope, sequence, and delivery flow in concrete terms. It makes work, boundaries, and order steerable. The result is captured as a RAID Log and a source for status reporting. | When estimates within the team diverge too much, it puts differing expectations on a common test bench. It separates rough complexity from unspoken assumptions. |
Complexitydifferent | Medium | Medium | Low | Low |
Timedifferent | 15-45 min | 30-90 min | 30 min Setup, dann laufend | 2-5 min je Item |
Participantsdifferent | 1-8 | 3-12 | 1-3 maintaining, briefing for everyone | 3-9 |
Formatdifferent | Workshop + async | Workshop | Async | Workshop + async |
Outputdifferent | PERT Estimate, Expected Value, Risk Notes | Affinity Size Map, Grouped Estimates, Unclear Items | RAID Log, Status Report Source | Relative Estimates, Assumption Notes, Split Candidates |
Tagsno overlap | EstimationUncertaintyRisk | EstimationBacklogRelative sizing | RiskTrackingStakeholdersGovernance | EstimationAgileRelative sizingTeam |