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Criterion
Paper illustration of two user profile cards with a goal, behavior evidence, and an open research question.
UX Research
Personas
Anonymous individual judgments pass through feedback loops to form a distribution.
Decision Making
Delphi Method
Paper illustration for Smoke Test.
Product Discovery
Smoke Test
Paper illustration for Fake Door Test
Product Discovery
Fake Door Test
Purposedifferent
When target groups stay too vague and teams talk about the same people differently, personas create a shared, solid picture of usage. Condensed profiles make needs, contexts, and differences tangible enough for decisions.When knowledge is distributed and direct dominance should be avoided, groups quickly fall under the sway of their opinion leaders. The Delphi Method gathers assessments iteratively and gradually brings expert judgments closer together.When demand only needs to be roughly verified, it tests interest with minimal effort. It measures whether people would take a next step at all.When demand is still unclear, it measures interest in a feature before it is built. It separates real behavior from polite agreement and deliberately keeps build effort small.
Complexitydifferent
MediumHighLowMedium
Timedifferent
1-3 Tage1-4 Wochen1-5 Tage1-5 Tage
Participantsdifferent
Internes Team6-30 ExpertenNutzertrafficNutzertraffic
Formatdifferent
Workshop + asyncAsyncAsyncAsync
Outputdifferent
Persona Profiles, Needs Summary, Scenario NotesExpert Forecast, Consensus Range, Assumption NotesInterest Metrics, Conversion Signal, Learning NoteClick Data, Interest Signal, Learning Decision
Tagsno overlap
ResearchCustomerSynthesis
ForecastingExpertsDecisionStrategy
ValidationExperimentsDemandGrowth
ValidationExperimentsDemandDiscovery
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