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Criterion
Paper illustration for PDCA Cycle.
Operations
PDCA Cycle
Paper illustration for Three-Point Estimation.
Decision Making
Three-Point Estimation
Gemba Walk workspace showing the question, observations, and next decision.
Operations
Gemba Walk
Paper illustration for NoEstimates.
Agile
NoEstimates
Purposedifferent
For an improvement that still has to prove itself in everyday work, the method runs it through small learning loops. It connects planning, checking, and standardization into a repeatable learning mode.A single estimate for effort, time, or risk often looks too smooth for the real uncertainty behind it. It separates options, evaluation criteria, and open risks. The result is captured as a Three-Point Estimate, Risk Range, and Assumption Notes.When there is uncertainty about the real course of a process, the method brings observation to the place where work happens. It combines perception, follow-up questions, and process knowledge so decisions rest on actual workflows instead of assumptions.When estimating slows a team down more than it helps, it shifts the focus to flow, small slices, and real lead time. It sorts work by value, risk, and delivery ability. The result is captured as Throughput Data, Flow Forecast, and Slicing Rules.
Complexitydifferent
LowMediumLowMedium
Timedifferent
1 h bis mehrere Wochen10-30 min je Item30-120 minlaufend
Participantsdifferent
1-81-82-62-12
Formatdifferent
Workshop + asyncWorkshop + asyncWorkshopWorkshop + async
Outputdifferent
PDCA Log, Experiment Plan, Learning Outcome, Standard ChangeThree-Point Estimate, Risk Range, Assumption NotesObservation Notes, Improvement IdeasThroughput Data, Flow Forecast, Slicing Rules
Tagsno overlap
Continuous improvementLeanExperiments
EstimationUncertaintyForecasting
LeanObservationProcessOperations
EstimationForecastingFlow
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