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Criterion
Paper illustration for PDCA Cycle.
Operations
PDCA Cycle
Paper illustration for Three-Point Estimation.
Decision Making
Three-Point Estimation
Paper illustration of a calm four-quadrant Assumption Map with hypothesis cards and emphasis on important assumptions with little evidence.
Product Discovery
Assumption Mapping
A/B Testing workspace showing the question, observations, and next decision.
Growth
A/B Testing
Purposedifferent
For an improvement that still has to prove itself in everyday work, the method runs it through small learning loops. It connects planning, checking, and standardization into a repeatable learning mode.A single estimate for effort, time, or risk often looks too smooth for the real uncertainty behind it. It separates options, evaluation criteria, and open risks. The result is captured as a Three-Point Estimate, Risk Range, and Assumption Notes.When assumptions still sit unordered in the room, it weighs uncertainty against leverage. It makes visible which hypotheses should be checked first.When two variants compete, discussions quickly decide by taste rather than effect. A/B Testing checks behavior under controlled conditions and separates real improvement from chance or expectation effects.
Complexitydifferent
LowMediumMediumHigh
Timedifferent
1 h bis mehrere Wochen10-30 min je Item45-60 min1-4 Wochen
Participantsdifferent
1-81-82-81-6
Formatdifferent
Workshop + asyncWorkshop + asyncWorkshop + asyncAsync
Outputdifferent
PDCA Log, Experiment Plan, Learning Outcome, Standard ChangeThree-Point Estimate, Risk Range, Assumption NotesAssumption map, Test backlog, Risk rankingExperiment results, Decision log, Learning summary
Tagsno overlap
Continuous improvementLeanExperiments
EstimationUncertaintyForecasting
AssumptionsRiskExperimentsValidation
ExperimentsGrowthAnalyticsValidation
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