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Criterion
Paper illustration for Opportunity Interview
Product Discovery
Opportunity Interview
Anonymous individual judgments pass through feedback loops to form a distribution.
Decision Making
Delphi Method
Paper illustration of Leverage Points with its method-specific working model.
Systems Thinking
Leverage Points
Paper illustration of an assumption matrix with prioritized test cards
Decision Making
Assumption Surfacing
Purposedifferent
When opportunities are still hidden behind signals of need, it structures conversations around needs and obstacles. It looks for patterns that lead to new product opportunities.When knowledge is distributed and direct dominance should be avoided, groups quickly fall under the sway of their opinion leaders. The Delphi Method gathers assessments iteratively and gradually brings expert judgments closer together.Leverage Points show exactly where interventions in a system produce a disproportionate effect. It draws relationships, patterns, and feedback loops. The result is captured as a leverage map and action strategy.Plans often contain assumptions that were never openly stated and remain dangerous precisely because of that. Assumption Surfacing makes these silent premises visible and prioritizes which of them carry the initiative or could sink it.
Complexitydifferent
MediumHighHighLow
Timedifferent
30-60 min je Interview1-4 WochenHalf day45-90 min
Participantsdifferent
5-12 Interviews6-30 Experten3-122-8
Formatdifferent
Workshop + asyncAsyncWorkshopWorkshop + async
Outputdifferent
Interview Notes, Opportunity Themes, Customer QuotesExpert Forecast, Consensus Range, Assumption NotesLeverage Map, Action StrategyAssumption List, Critical Assumptions, Learning Plan
Tagsno overlap
DiscoveryInterviewsOpportunityCustomer
ForecastingExpertsDecisionStrategy
Systems thinkingChangeStrategy
AssumptionsRiskDecisionDiscovery
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