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| Criterion |  Decision Making OODA Loop |  Decision Making Wideband Delphi |  Product Discovery Assumption Mapping |  Decision Making Delphi Method |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Purposedifferent | In dynamic situations, decisions become outdated faster than they can be prepared. The OODA Loop holds observing, orienting, deciding, and acting together as a recurring rhythm so reaction does not slide into inertia. | A single opinion rarely holds up for planning when the future is genuinely uncertain. It separates options, evaluation criteria, and open risks. The result is captured as an Estimate Range, Assumption Log, and Expert Consensus Notes. | When assumptions still sit unordered in the room, it weighs uncertainty against leverage. It makes visible which hypotheses should be checked first. | When knowledge is distributed and direct dominance should be avoided, groups quickly fall under the sway of their opinion leaders. The Delphi Method gathers assessments iteratively and gradually brings expert judgments closer together. |
Complexitydifferent | Medium | High | Medium | High |
Timedifferent | 15-60 min je Zyklus | 1-4 h or multiple rounds | 45-60 min | 1-4 Wochen |
Participantsdifferent | 1-8 | 4-12 Experten | 2-8 | 6-30 Experten |
Formatdifferent | Workshop + async | Workshop + async | Workshop + async | Async |
Outputdifferent | Situation Assessment, Decision Loop, Action Updates | Estimate Range, Assumption Log, Expert Consensus Notes | Assumption map, Test backlog, Risk ranking | Expert Forecast, Consensus Range, Assumption Notes |
Tagsno overlap | DecisionChangeLearningStrategy | EstimationExpertsForecasting | AssumptionsRiskExperimentsValidation | ForecastingExpertsDecisionStrategy |