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Criterion
Paper illustration for OODA Loop.
Decision Making
OODA Loop
Paper illustration for PERT Estimation.
Decision Making
PERT Estimation
Paper illustration of a Learning Card with four fields for hypothesis, observation, insight, and action.
Product Discovery
Learning Card
Paper illustration of an assumption matrix with prioritized test cards
Decision Making
Assumption Surfacing
Purposedifferent
In dynamic situations, decisions become outdated faster than they can be prepared. The OODA Loop holds observing, orienting, deciding, and acting together as a recurring rhythm so reaction does not slide into inertia.On complex initiatives, a plain average tends to understate just how uncertain the outcome really is. It separates options, evaluation criteria, and open risks. The result is captured as a PERT Estimate, Expected Value, and Risk Notes.The Learning Card connects traceable test results to a reasoned next action while keeping the limits of the insight visible.Plans often contain assumptions that were never openly stated and remain dangerous precisely because of that. Assumption Surfacing makes these silent premises visible and prioritizes which of them carry the initiative or could sink it.
Complexitydifferent
MediumMediumLowLow
Timedifferent
15-60 min je Zyklus15-45 min25-40 min45-90 min
Participantsdifferent
1-81-81-52-8
Formatsame
Workshop + asyncWorkshop + asyncWorkshop + asyncWorkshop + async
Outputdifferent
Situation Assessment, Decision Loop, Action UpdatesPERT Estimate, Expected Value, Risk NotesLearning Card with evidence and next actionAssumption List, Critical Assumptions, Learning Plan
Tagsno overlap
DecisionChangeLearningStrategy
EstimationUncertaintyRisk
ExperimentsValidationDiscoveryLearning
AssumptionsRiskDecisionDiscovery
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