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Criterion
Paper illustration for OODA Loop.
Decision Making
OODA Loop
Paper illustration for Future Reality Tree.
Systems Thinking
Future Reality Tree
Paper illustration for Evaporating Cloud.
Systems Thinking
Evaporating Cloud
Paper illustration of an assumption matrix with prioritized test cards
Decision Making
Assumption Surfacing
Purposedifferent
In dynamic situations, decisions become outdated faster than they can be prepared. The OODA Loop holds observing, orienting, deciding, and acting together as a recurring rhythm so reaction does not slide into inertia.A Future Reality Tree shows how desired actions are meant to lead to a better system state. The method checks whether a path of change holds together logically before time flows into implementation.The method makes visible why two seemingly incompatible demands arise and which assumption must be tested to resolve the conflict.Plans often contain assumptions that were never openly stated and remain dangerous precisely because of that. Assumption Surfacing makes these silent premises visible and prioritizes which of them carry the initiative or could sink it.
Complexitydifferent
MediumHighMediumLow
Timedifferent
15-60 min je Zyklus2-4 h60-120 min45-90 min
Participantsdifferent
1-83-82-82-8
Formatdifferent
Workshop + asyncWorkshopWorkshopWorkshop + async
Outputdifferent
Situation Assessment, Decision Loop, Action UpdatesFuture Reality Tree, Negative Branches, Assumption List, Improved InjectionsConflict Cloud, Assumption List, Breakthrough Ideas, Next ExperimentsAssumption List, Critical Assumptions, Learning Plan
Tagsno overlap
DecisionChangeLearningStrategy
Theory of ConstraintsSystems thinkingChange
Theory of ConstraintsAssumptionsSystems thinking
AssumptionsRiskDecisionDiscovery
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