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| Criterion |  Agile NoEstimates |  Decision Making Wideband Delphi |  Product Discovery Experiment Canvas |  Product Discovery Test Card |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Purposedifferent | When estimating slows a team down more than it helps, it shifts the focus to flow, small slices, and real lead time. It sorts work by value, risk, and delivery ability. The result is captured as Throughput Data, Flow Forecast, and Slicing Rules. | A single opinion rarely holds up for planning when the future is genuinely uncertain. It separates options, evaluation criteria, and open risks. The result is captured as an Estimate Range, Assumption Log, and Expert Consensus Notes. | When experiments become unreadable after the fact, it arranges hypothesis, signal, and learning goal on a single canvas. It separates problem, assumption, solution, and evidence. The result is captured as a Completed Experiment Canvas and a Success Metric. | The Test Card turns a critical assumption into a testable claim and specifies in advance which result counts as success. |
Complexitydifferent | Medium | High | Low | Low |
Timedifferent | laufend | 1-4 h or multiple rounds | 30-60 min | 20-35 min |
Participantsdifferent | 2-12 | 4-12 Experten | 1-5 | 1-5 |
Formatsame | Workshop + async | Workshop + async | Workshop + async | Workshop + async |
Outputdifferent | Throughput Data, Flow Forecast, Slicing Rules | Estimate Range, Assumption Log, Expert Consensus Notes | Completed Experiment Canvas, Success Metric | Test Card with a pre-set threshold |
Tagsno overlap | EstimationForecastingFlow | EstimationExpertsForecasting | ExperimentsValidationDiscoveryHypothesis | ExperimentsValidationDiscoveryHypothesis |