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| Criterion |  Agile NoEstimates |  Decision Making Wideband Delphi |  Product Strategy Counter Metrics |
|---|---|---|---|
Purposedifferent | When estimating slows a team down more than it helps, it shifts the focus to flow, small slices, and real lead time. It sorts work by value, risk, and delivery ability. The result is captured as Throughput Data, Flow Forecast, and Slicing Rules. | A single opinion rarely holds up for planning when the future is genuinely uncertain. It separates options, evaluation criteria, and open risks. The result is captured as an Estimate Range, Assumption Log, and Expert Consensus Notes. | When a headline metric could mask side effects, it adds guardrail signals against unwanted outcomes. It connects customer value, product logic, and decision priorities. The result is captured as a counter-metric list and guardrail definitions. |
Complexitydifferent | Medium | High | Low |
Timedifferent | laufend | 1-4 h or multiple rounds | 30-60 min |
Participantsdifferent | 2-12 | 4-12 Experten | 2-6 |
Formatsame | Workshop + async | Workshop + async | Workshop + async |
Outputdifferent | Throughput Data, Flow Forecast, Slicing Rules | Estimate Range, Assumption Log, Expert Consensus Notes | Counter Metric List, Guardrail Definitions |
Tagsno overlap | EstimationForecastingFlow | EstimationExpertsForecasting | MetricsMeasurementStrategyExperiments |
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