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| Criterion |  Agile NoEstimates |  Decision Making Wideband Delphi |  Business Strategy Business Model Stress Test |  Business Strategy Value Chain Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Purposedifferent | When estimating slows a team down more than it helps, it shifts the focus to flow, small slices, and real lead time. It sorts work by value, risk, and delivery ability. The result is captured as Throughput Data, Flow Forecast, and Slicing Rules. | A single opinion rarely holds up for planning when the future is genuinely uncertain. It separates options, evaluation criteria, and open risks. The result is captured as an Estimate Range, Assumption Log, and Expert Consensus Notes. | A Business Model Stress Test checks how well a business model holds up under pressure and headwinds. It compares strengths, risks, market logic, and courses of action. The result is captured as a stress-test report and action plan per scenario. | Value Chain Analysis shows where value is created, costs accrue, and differentiation becomes possible along the process. It compares strengths, risks, market logic, and courses of action. The result is captured as a value-chain map and lever list. |
Complexitydifferent | Medium | High | High | High |
Timedifferent | laufend | 1-4 h or multiple rounds | Half day | Half day |
Participantsdifferent | 2-12 | 4-12 Experten | 3-8 | 3-8 |
Formatdifferent | Workshop + async | Workshop + async | Workshop | Workshop |
Outputdifferent | Throughput Data, Flow Forecast, Slicing Rules | Estimate Range, Assumption Log, Expert Consensus Notes | Stress Test Report, Action Plan per Scenario | Value Chain Map, Lever List |
Tagsno overlap | EstimationForecastingFlow | EstimationExpertsForecasting | StrategyBusiness modelRiskDiagnosis | StrategyBusiness modelDiagnosisAnalysis |