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| Criterion |  Agile NoEstimates |  Operations Waste Analysis |  Decision Making Wideband Delphi |  Delivery Value Stream Mapping |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Purposedifferent | When estimating slows a team down more than it helps, it shifts the focus to flow, small slices, and real lead time. It sorts work by value, risk, and delivery ability. The result is captured as Throughput Data, Flow Forecast, and Slicing Rules. | For a process that keeps people busy but creates little value, the method exposes waste. It directs attention to unnecessary movement, waiting times, rework, and overdelivery. | A single opinion rarely holds up for planning when the future is genuinely uncertain. It separates options, evaluation criteria, and open risks. The result is captured as an Estimate Range, Assumption Log, and Expert Consensus Notes. | When delivery work dissolves into wait times, handoffs, and hidden effort, Value Stream Mapping makes the actual flow visible. The method exposes bottlenecks, idle time, and feedback loops so lead time and improvement levers become tangible. |
Complexitydifferent | Medium | Low | High | Medium |
Timedifferent | laufend | 45-120 min | 1-4 h or multiple rounds | 1-3 h |
Participantsdifferent | 2-12 | 2-8 | 4-12 Experten | 4-10 |
Formatdifferent | Workshop + async | Workshop | Workshop + async | Workshop |
Outputdifferent | Throughput Data, Flow Forecast, Slicing Rules | Waste Map, Prioritized Waste, Improvement Backlog | Estimate Range, Assumption Log, Expert Consensus Notes | Current-state map, Future-state map, Bottleneck list |
Tagsno overlap | EstimationForecastingFlow | WasteLeanProcess improvement | EstimationExpertsForecasting | LeanFlowWasteDelivery |