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| Criterion |  Agile NoEstimates |  Decision Making Three-Point Estimation |  Growth Flywheel |  Growth Funnel Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Purposedifferent | When estimating slows a team down more than it helps, it shifts the focus to flow, small slices, and real lead time. It sorts work by value, risk, and delivery ability. The result is captured as Throughput Data, Flow Forecast, and Slicing Rules. | A single estimate for effort, time, or risk often looks too smooth for the real uncertainty behind it. It separates options, evaluation criteria, and open risks. The result is captured as a Three-Point Estimate, Risk Range, and Assumption Notes. | Growth often breaks down where a reinforcing mechanism builds up too much friction. A Flywheel shows the cycle of value, repetition, and reinforcement meant to sustain growth. | When many visitors or users drop off along the way, the reason behind the number often stays hidden. Funnel Analysis exposes these transitions and makes visible exactly where the path collapses. |
Complexitysame | Medium | Medium | Medium | Medium |
Timedifferent | laufend | 10-30 min je Item | 60-120 min | 1-3 h |
Participantsdifferent | 2-12 | 1-8 | 3-8 | 1-5 |
Formatdifferent | Workshop + async | Workshop + async | Workshop | Async |
Outputdifferent | Throughput Data, Flow Forecast, Slicing Rules | Three-Point Estimate, Risk Range, Assumption Notes | Flywheel Map, Friction Points, Growth Levers, Experiment Backlog | Funnel report, Drop-off analysis, Optimization hypotheses |
Tagsno overlap | EstimationForecastingFlow | EstimationUncertaintyForecasting | GrowthRetentionConversion | AnalyticsConversionGrowth |