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Criterion
Paper illustration for NoEstimates.
Agile
NoEstimates
Paper illustration for Three-Point Estimation.
Decision Making
Three-Point Estimation
Blameless Postmortem workspace showing the question, observations, and next decision.
DevOps
Blameless Postmortem
Paper illustration for Learning Review.
Operations
Learning Review
Purposedifferent
When estimating slows a team down more than it helps, it shifts the focus to flow, small slices, and real lead time. It sorts work by value, risk, and delivery ability. The result is captured as Throughput Data, Flow Forecast, and Slicing Rules.A single estimate for effort, time, or risk often looks too smooth for the real uncertainty behind it. It separates options, evaluation criteria, and open risks. The result is captured as a Three-Point Estimate, Risk Range, and Assumption Notes.After an incident with damage or a near miss, the method creates a sober field for learning without assigning blame. It directs attention to the course of events, conditions, and effective countermeasures.After a project phase with mixed results, the method makes learning from the individual case reusable. It connects events, decisions, and systemic conditions into robust insights.
Complexitysame
MediumMediumMediumMedium
Timedifferent
laufend10-30 min je Item30-90 min1-3 h
Participantsdifferent
2-121-83-123-10
Formatdifferent
Workshop + asyncWorkshop + asyncWorkshop + asyncWorkshop
Outputdifferent
Throughput Data, Flow Forecast, Slicing RulesThree-Point Estimate, Risk Range, Assumption NotesPostmortem Doc, Action Items, TimelineLearning Review Notes, System Factors, Improvement Actions
Tagsno overlap
EstimationForecastingFlow
EstimationUncertaintyForecasting
Site Reliability EngineeringIncidentLearningReliability
LearningRetrospectiveIncidentOperations
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