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Criterion
Paper illustration for NoEstimates.
Agile
NoEstimates
Paper illustration for Three-Point Estimation.
Decision Making
Three-Point Estimation
A 5 Whys working surface connects an observable problem with evidenced causes, marked uncertainty and concrete countermeasures with ownership.
Operations
5 Whys
A3 Problem-Solving workspace showing the question, observations, and next decision.
Operations
A3 Problem Solving
Purposedifferent
When estimating slows a team down more than it helps, it shifts the focus to flow, small slices, and real lead time. It sorts work by value, risk, and delivery ability. The result is captured as Throughput Data, Flow Forecast, and Slicing Rules.A single estimate for effort, time, or risk often looks too smooth for the real uncertainty behind it. It separates options, evaluation criteria, and open risks. The result is captured as a Three-Point Estimate, Risk Range, and Assumption Notes.For a single, hard-to-explain deviation, the method exposes the causal chain behind the visible symptom. It keeps the cause open until a controllable condition emerges instead of a mere description.For a complex deviation with several people involved, the method bundles problem, analysis, and decision onto one page. It creates a shared working space where causes, countermeasures, and follow-up fit together.
Complexitydifferent
MediumMediumLowMedium
Timedifferent
laufend10-30 min je Item15-30 min45-90 min
Participantsdifferent
2-121-82-62-5
Formatdifferent
Workshop + asyncWorkshop + asyncWorkshopWorkshop + async
Outputdifferent
Throughput Data, Flow Forecast, Slicing RulesThree-Point Estimate, Risk Range, Assumption NotesRoot cause notes, CountermeasuresA3 Report, Action Plan, Root Cause Analysis
Tagsno overlap
EstimationForecastingFlow
EstimationUncertaintyForecasting
Root causeIncidentLeanProblem solving
LeanProblem solvingCoachingOperations
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