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Criterion
Paper illustration for NoEstimates.
Agile
NoEstimates
Systems Mapping method illustration showing its working structure
Systems Thinking
Systems Mapping
Anonymous individual judgments pass through feedback loops to form a distribution.
Decision Making
Delphi Method
Paper illustration for OODA Loop.
Decision Making
OODA Loop
Purposedifferent
When estimating slows a team down more than it helps, it shifts the focus to flow, small slices, and real lead time. It sorts work by value, risk, and delivery ability. The result is captured as Throughput Data, Flow Forecast, and Slicing Rules.Systems Mapping arranges elements, relationships, and boundaries so a complex field becomes legible at a glance. The overview stabilizes the overall picture before detail work or steering begins.When knowledge is distributed and direct dominance should be avoided, groups quickly fall under the sway of their opinion leaders. The Delphi Method gathers assessments iteratively and gradually brings expert judgments closer together.In dynamic situations, decisions become outdated faster than they can be prepared. The OODA Loop holds observing, orienting, deciding, and acting together as a recurring rhythm so reaction does not slide into inertia.
Complexitydifferent
MediumMediumHighMedium
Timedifferent
laufend1-3 h1-4 Wochen15-60 min je Zyklus
Participantsdifferent
2-123-126-30 Experten1-8
Formatdifferent
Workshop + asyncWorkshop + asyncAsyncWorkshop + async
Outputdifferent
Throughput Data, Flow Forecast, Slicing RulesSystem Map, Dependencies, Leverage PointsExpert Forecast, Consensus Range, Assumption NotesSituation Assessment, Decision Loop, Action Updates
Tagsno overlap
EstimationForecastingFlow
Systems thinkingMappingBoundariesChange
ForecastingExpertsDecisionStrategy
DecisionChangeLearningStrategy
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