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Criterion
Paper illustration for NoEstimates.
Agile
NoEstimates
Paper illustration for Smoke Test.
Product Discovery
Smoke Test
Paper illustration of a calm four-quadrant Assumption Map with hypothesis cards and emphasis on important assumptions with little evidence.
Product Discovery
Assumption Mapping
A/B Testing workspace showing the question, observations, and next decision.
Growth
A/B Testing
Purposedifferent
When estimating slows a team down more than it helps, it shifts the focus to flow, small slices, and real lead time. It sorts work by value, risk, and delivery ability. The result is captured as Throughput Data, Flow Forecast, and Slicing Rules.When demand only needs to be roughly verified, it tests interest with minimal effort. It measures whether people would take a next step at all.When assumptions still sit unordered in the room, it weighs uncertainty against leverage. It makes visible which hypotheses should be checked first.When two variants compete, discussions quickly decide by taste rather than effect. A/B Testing checks behavior under controlled conditions and separates real improvement from chance or expectation effects.
Complexitydifferent
MediumLowMediumHigh
Timedifferent
laufend1-5 Tage45-60 min1-4 Wochen
Participantsdifferent
2-12Nutzertraffic2-81-6
Formatdifferent
Workshop + asyncAsyncWorkshop + asyncAsync
Outputdifferent
Throughput Data, Flow Forecast, Slicing RulesInterest Metrics, Conversion Signal, Learning NoteAssumption map, Test backlog, Risk rankingExperiment results, Decision log, Learning summary
Tagsno overlap
EstimationForecastingFlow
ValidationExperimentsDemandGrowth
AssumptionsRiskExperimentsValidation
ExperimentsGrowthAnalyticsValidation
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